Glossary

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – July 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – July 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – July 2020

Offset Supply Information:

All CCOs issued to date: 190.98 million
Compliance credits awaiting issuance: 23.12 million

 

CA and General Market Commentary:

  • ARB’s next auction will be in August. With futures for August delivery trading at $16.83, $0.15 above the $16.68 auction floor price, it appears likely that the auction will see a substantially higher bid-to-cover ratio than the .37 seen at the May auction.  It may even be fully subscribed (a bid-to-cover ratio of 1.00 or higher), but a clearing price materially higher than the minimum $16.68 floor seems unlikely given lower emissions in 2020 during the pandemic and given the large number of allowances that traded at a discount below the floor price on the futures exchange during the March-May period.
  • ARB has begun marking CCOs as “DEBs” or non-DEBs in their tracking software and reports. This allows buyers to know whether the credits they are buying have been determined to meet the requirements.  Offset projects that are located in California will automatically be marked as “DEBs”, while other projects can petition to have a determination made if the developer believes they should qualify.
  • Due to ARB beginning to mark credits as “DEBs”, we would expect that the market will begin to differentiate between the two categories, and we will begin adding prices for both categories to this report if/when the market begins to price them differently.

ClimeCo Corporation is a respected project developer, advisor and trader of environmental commodity market products. Specialized expertise in regional criteria pollutant trading programs, California cap‐and‐trade, voluntary markets and project development and financing of internal CO2 abatement systems complement ClimeCo’s diverse commodity portfolio. Within the Climate Action Reserve, ClimeCo is the largest developer of U.S. GHG‐offset projects and producer of U.S. voluntary carbon offsets, managing projects that reduce more than four million tonnes of CO2e per year. For information, contact 484‐415‐0501 or nmarshall@climeco.com.

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – July 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – June 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – June 2020



Offset Supply Information:

All CCOs issued to date: 188.11 million
Compliance credits awaiting issuance: 22.24 million

CA and General Market Commentary:

  • ARB issued 2.05 million CCOs in June, a light month, and the ROC backlog decreased by over 1 million credits as new ROC issuances were low in June at 1.08 million.
  • ARB’s next auction will be in August.
  • ARB has announced that starting at the end of July, ARB will begin marking CCOs as “DEBs” or non-DEBs in their tracking software and reports. This will allow buyers to know whether the credits they are buying have been determined to meet the requirements.  Offset projects that are located in California will automatically be marked as “DEBs”, while other projects can petition to have a determination made if the developer believes they should qualify.
  • Due to ARB beginning to mark credits as “DEBs”, we would expect that the market will begin to differentiate between the two categories, and we will begin adding prices for both categories to this report if/when the market begins to price them differently.

ClimeCo Corporation is a respected project developer, advisor and trader of environmental commodity market products. Specialized expertise in regional criteria pollutant trading programs, California cap‐and‐trade, voluntary markets and project development and financing of internal CO2 abatement systems complement ClimeCo’s diverse commodity portfolio. Within the Climate Action Reserve, ClimeCo is the largest developer of U.S. GHG‐offset projects and producer of U.S. voluntary carbon offsets, managing projects that reduce more than four million tonnes of CO2e per year. For information, contact 484‐415‐0501 or nmarshall@climeco.com.

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – July 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – May 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – May 2020

Offset Supply Information:

All CCOs issued to date: 186.06 million
Compliance credits awaiting issuance: 23.48 million

CA and General Market Commentary:

  • ARB issued 11.6 million CCOs in May, a relatively high monthly total that substantially reduced the ROC backlog from 32.84 million last month to 23.48 million this month.
  • ARB announced the results of the May CCA auction on May 28th. The auction for both current and future vintage CCAs failed to sell out, so the clearing price was the minimum reserve price of $16.68.  The bid-to-cover ratio was .37, meaning that 37% of the auctioned current vintage allowances sold.  Given that CCAs on the futures market had traded below $16.68 during April and May, it was to be expected that entities would have limited need to purchase CCAs at this auction.
  • ARB’s next auction will be in August, and with CCA futures trading above the auction reserve price currently, a more fully-subscribed auction is likely in August.

ClimeCo Corporation is a respected project developer, advisor and trader of environmental commodity market products. Specialized expertise in regional criteria pollutant trading programs, California cap‐and‐trade, voluntary markets and project development and financing of internal CO2 abatement systems complement ClimeCo’s diverse commodity portfolio. Within the Climate Action Reserve, ClimeCo is the largest developer of U.S. GHG‐offset projects and producer of U.S. voluntary carbon offsets, managing projects that reduce more than four million tonnes of CO2e per year. For information, contact 484‐415‐0501 or nmarshall@climeco.com.

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – July 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – April 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – April 2020

Offset Supply Information:
All CCOs issued to date: 174.45 million
Compliance credits awaiting issuance: 32.84 million

CA and General Market Commentary:

  • ARB issued only 1.16 million CCOs during the month of March. The ROC backlog (Compliance credits awaiting issuance) climbed by 3.46 million, and is now near the upper end of its historic range.  Smaller monthly issuances and a growing backlog may be due to COVID-19 disruptions at ARB.
  • CCA prices recovered slowly in April, but remain well below the $16.68 auction floor price. The next scheduled auction is in May.

ClimeCo Corporation is a respected project developer, advisor and trader of environmental commodity market products. Specialized expertise in regional criteria pollutant trading programs, California cap‐and‐trade, voluntary markets and project development and financing of internal CO2 abatement systems complement ClimeCo’s diverse commodity portfolio. Within the Climate Action Reserve, ClimeCo is the largest developer of U.S. GHG‐offset projects and producer of U.S. voluntary carbon offsets, managing projects that reduce more than four million tonnes of CO2e per year. For information, contact 484‐415‐0501 or nmarshall@climeco.com.

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – July 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – March 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – March 2020

Offset Supply Information:

All CCOs issued to date: 173.29 million
Compliance credits awaiting issuance: 29.38 million

CA and General Market Commentary:

  • ARB CCA and CCO prices fell precipitously in March as Californians stayed at home and emissions are expected to fall dramatically as a result, at least in the near term. Prices are now approximately $1.40 below the auction floor price for 2020.
  • Volatility has been extremely high, and the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) has raised margin requirements for traders several times. Increases in capital required to trade in the CCA market has likely exacerbated the decline below the floor price.
  • It is important to remember that if allowances go unsold at the next auction in May, which seems likely at this point, then that supply of approximately 66 million allowances being auctioned will be removed from the market for a substantial period of time. The supply of allowances in the market is to some extent self-correcting, so we anticipate futures prices returning to a point at least slightly above the floor within the next few months. 

ClimeCo Corporation is a respected project developer, advisor and trader of environmental commodity market products. Specialized expertise in regional criteria pollutant trading programs, California cap‐and‐trade, voluntary markets and project development and financing of internal CO2 abatement systems complement ClimeCo’s diverse commodity portfolio. Within the Climate Action Reserve, ClimeCo is the largest developer of U.S. GHG‐offset projects and producer of U.S. voluntary carbon offsets, managing projects that reduce more than four million tonnes of CO2e per year. For information, contact 484‐415‐0501 or nmarshall@climeco.com.