Glossary

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – September 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – September 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – September 2020

CA and General Market Commentary:

Offset Supply Information:

All CCOs issued to date: 201.97 million
Compliance credits awaiting issuance: 23.29 million

CA and General Market Commentary:

The trend of allowances moving higher and CCO prices moving lower continued in September. The spread between Allowances and CCOs continues to widen to record historical levels.  Because 2020 is not a triennial compliance true-up year, we believe the lack of interest in CCOs is because compliance entities do not need to purchase CCOs for compliance until 2021, and many entities may be waiting until closer to the true-up deadline in order to observe the uncertain economy and better understand their emissions for 2020.


ClimeCo
 is a respected project developer, advisor and trader of environmental commodity market products. Specialized expertise in regional criteria pollutant trading programs, California cap‐and‐trade, voluntary markets and project development and financing of internal CO2 abatement systems complement ClimeCo’s diverse commodity portfolio. Within the Climate Action Reserve, ClimeCo is the largest developer of U.S. GHG‐offset projects and producer of U.S. voluntary carbon offsets, managing projects that reduce more than four million tonnes of CO2e per year. For information, contact 484‐415‐0501 or nmarshall@climeco.com.

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – September 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – August 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – August 2020

Offset Supply Information:

All CCOs issued to date: 190.88 million

Compliance credits awaiting issuance: 21.96 million

CA and General Market Commentary:

  • ARB’s August auction saw a $16.68 clearing price for its current vintages, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 0.89. The advance vintage auction cleared at $16.73 with a bid-to-cover ratio of 1.29.  This is an unusual result, typically entities would expect to receive a discount for purchasing future years’ allowances that cannot be used for 3 years.  It was also interesting to see that while only 3.5% of current vintage allowances were purchased by speculators, 19.9% of future vintage allowances were purchased by speculators.
  • Allowances continued to inch higher in August, while CCO prices inched lower. The spread between Allowance and CCO is historically high.  Because 2020 is not triennial compliance true-up year, we believe the lack of interest in CCOs is because compliance entities do not need to purchase CCOs for compliance until 2021, and many entities may be waiting until closer to the true-up deadline in order to observe the uncertain economy and better understand their emissions for 2020.

ClimeCo Corporation is a respected project developer, advisor and trader of environmental commodity market products. Specialized expertise in regional criteria pollutant trading programs, California cap‐and‐trade, voluntary markets and project development and financing of internal CO2 abatement systems complement ClimeCo’s diverse commodity portfolio. Within the Climate Action Reserve, ClimeCo is the largest developer of U.S. GHG‐offset projects and producer of U.S. voluntary carbon offsets, managing projects that reduce more than four million tonnes of CO2e per year. For information, contact 484‐415‐0501 or nmarshall@climeco.com.

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – July 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – July 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – July 2020

Offset Supply Information:

All CCOs issued to date: 190.98 million
Compliance credits awaiting issuance: 23.12 million

 

CA and General Market Commentary:

  • ARB’s next auction will be in August. With futures for August delivery trading at $16.83, $0.15 above the $16.68 auction floor price, it appears likely that the auction will see a substantially higher bid-to-cover ratio than the .37 seen at the May auction.  It may even be fully subscribed (a bid-to-cover ratio of 1.00 or higher), but a clearing price materially higher than the minimum $16.68 floor seems unlikely given lower emissions in 2020 during the pandemic and given the large number of allowances that traded at a discount below the floor price on the futures exchange during the March-May period.
  • ARB has begun marking CCOs as “DEBs” or non-DEBs in their tracking software and reports. This allows buyers to know whether the credits they are buying have been determined to meet the requirements.  Offset projects that are located in California will automatically be marked as “DEBs”, while other projects can petition to have a determination made if the developer believes they should qualify.
  • Due to ARB beginning to mark credits as “DEBs”, we would expect that the market will begin to differentiate between the two categories, and we will begin adding prices for both categories to this report if/when the market begins to price them differently.

ClimeCo Corporation is a respected project developer, advisor and trader of environmental commodity market products. Specialized expertise in regional criteria pollutant trading programs, California cap‐and‐trade, voluntary markets and project development and financing of internal CO2 abatement systems complement ClimeCo’s diverse commodity portfolio. Within the Climate Action Reserve, ClimeCo is the largest developer of U.S. GHG‐offset projects and producer of U.S. voluntary carbon offsets, managing projects that reduce more than four million tonnes of CO2e per year. For information, contact 484‐415‐0501 or nmarshall@climeco.com.

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – July 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – June 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – June 2020



Offset Supply Information:

All CCOs issued to date: 188.11 million
Compliance credits awaiting issuance: 22.24 million

CA and General Market Commentary:

  • ARB issued 2.05 million CCOs in June, a light month, and the ROC backlog decreased by over 1 million credits as new ROC issuances were low in June at 1.08 million.
  • ARB’s next auction will be in August.
  • ARB has announced that starting at the end of July, ARB will begin marking CCOs as “DEBs” or non-DEBs in their tracking software and reports. This will allow buyers to know whether the credits they are buying have been determined to meet the requirements.  Offset projects that are located in California will automatically be marked as “DEBs”, while other projects can petition to have a determination made if the developer believes they should qualify.
  • Due to ARB beginning to mark credits as “DEBs”, we would expect that the market will begin to differentiate between the two categories, and we will begin adding prices for both categories to this report if/when the market begins to price them differently.

ClimeCo Corporation is a respected project developer, advisor and trader of environmental commodity market products. Specialized expertise in regional criteria pollutant trading programs, California cap‐and‐trade, voluntary markets and project development and financing of internal CO2 abatement systems complement ClimeCo’s diverse commodity portfolio. Within the Climate Action Reserve, ClimeCo is the largest developer of U.S. GHG‐offset projects and producer of U.S. voluntary carbon offsets, managing projects that reduce more than four million tonnes of CO2e per year. For information, contact 484‐415‐0501 or nmarshall@climeco.com.

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – July 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – May 2020

Offset Pricing Monthly Market Digest – May 2020

Offset Supply Information:

All CCOs issued to date: 186.06 million
Compliance credits awaiting issuance: 23.48 million

CA and General Market Commentary:

  • ARB issued 11.6 million CCOs in May, a relatively high monthly total that substantially reduced the ROC backlog from 32.84 million last month to 23.48 million this month.
  • ARB announced the results of the May CCA auction on May 28th. The auction for both current and future vintage CCAs failed to sell out, so the clearing price was the minimum reserve price of $16.68.  The bid-to-cover ratio was .37, meaning that 37% of the auctioned current vintage allowances sold.  Given that CCAs on the futures market had traded below $16.68 during April and May, it was to be expected that entities would have limited need to purchase CCAs at this auction.
  • ARB’s next auction will be in August, and with CCA futures trading above the auction reserve price currently, a more fully-subscribed auction is likely in August.

ClimeCo Corporation is a respected project developer, advisor and trader of environmental commodity market products. Specialized expertise in regional criteria pollutant trading programs, California cap‐and‐trade, voluntary markets and project development and financing of internal CO2 abatement systems complement ClimeCo’s diverse commodity portfolio. Within the Climate Action Reserve, ClimeCo is the largest developer of U.S. GHG‐offset projects and producer of U.S. voluntary carbon offsets, managing projects that reduce more than four million tonnes of CO2e per year. For information, contact 484‐415‐0501 or nmarshall@climeco.com.